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About Us > Help & Support > FAQs > Question 23: Win Loss Analysis & Product Life Cycles

Marketing & Competitive Intelligence FAQ
Win Loss Analysis & Product Life Cycles


I work for a company that automates the supply of messages to pagers – for example to ask sales staff at several different locations to call in to the main office, or to tell them about a special offer. This is now a dying technology, and so we've started producing products serving a similar purpose, but broadcasting SMS messages to mobile phones.

We're finding that this is a very fast changing market with frequent technology updates. We're also losing clients to companies that are much smaller and younger than we are but don't know why as these companies don't have the reputation and experience that we have. What should we do?

First, congratulations on having the courage to switch to a related but replacement technology when you realised that your initial market was dying. In fact, your question suggests that you have some understanding of your competitive situation, but are finding that the rules that you were used to when you operated in the mature / declining pager market have changed.

Changing competitive environment

This links to some basic marketing theory: the product life cycle. All products and services have a life-cycle, and there are essentially four stages:

The introduction stage starts with a new product. This is not the same as introducing a new brand or product version into an existing market, but refers to a new product type or category. In your market, the introduction of G3 mobile phones, incorporating PDAs, video, digital cameras and the like would fit. In the first stage, there is relatively slow growth, and few competitors.

The growth stage occurs following market acceptance of the new product category. The growth potential attracts competitors, who often introduce new features as a way of gaining share from the company or companies that first introduced the product. This results in rapid change, with further market expansion. Towards the end of this phase, the rate of growth starts to slow, and you sometimes find that weaker competitors leave the market or get acquired by other companies buying market share.

The maturity stage has fewer but stronger competitors. In the maturity stage, there is little scope for growth, except by taking share from other companies operating in the market, and so the market becomes more stable, dominated by a few strong players.

In the decline stage the product becomes outdated, sales decrease and the product eventually dies. A few niche players may remain serving the market, but the competitive situation is relatively stable and easy to manage.

The pager market is likely to be in the final, decline, stage which is why the change to SMS messaging systems has been a shock. This SMS messaging market is probably in the growth phase, where you encounter many more competitors who are introducing new products.

Customers are also learning about the products and so your experience in a different field may not count for much. Instead, customers want to feel confident that they are buying the most up-to-the-minute technology, so you need to ensure that your products stay up-to-date and include the latest product features. You need to take a much closer look at what is happening technologically than you may be used to.

Losing customers

The next bit of your question asks why you are losing customers. This is relatively simple to solve in theory (although not always in practice). Essentially, you need to conduct a win-loss analysis, looking at the reasons you win customers and why you lose them. To do this, you need to ask them.

When you gain a new client, try and find out who they used before (if anyone) and why they chose you. Don't just assume that it was the brilliance of your sales agent, even if that is what he or she has told you. There can be many other reasons and you need to know them. You can then use the information to help your customer targeting.

You also need to find out why you lost, or failed to gain customers. Again, don't take your sales agent's word for granted. He may be right that the competitor came in with a lower offer. However there could be other reasons that you need to uncover if you are to succeed in the new market. Examples include service levels, perceived quality, technology, and confidence in the product or the sales agent's knowledge and approach.

Win-loss analysis can be conducted internally. However many companies prefer to outsource this kind of work, as there is a danger that customers may not always wish to say the truth to the company directly. The company may also not take a fully objective view when following up wins and losses. Sometimes a more honest and objective opinion can be gathered by using someone seen as neutral by the customer.

Note: This FAQ was originally published in the Society of Competitive Intelligence Professional's membership magazine.

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Quick Tip: Questions

Quick Tip

A key competitive intelligence skill is the ability to distinguish what you do know from what you don't know. The effort is then to find out sources for the unknown information - as the great English writer, Dr Samuel Johnson said:

Knowledge is of two kinds. We know a subject ourselves, or we know where we can find information upon it.

Unfortunately even with the knowledge there can be problems. Lewis Branscomb - the US physicist and Harvard management professor once said:

People rarely distinguish among data, information, knowledge, and wisdom. But they are as different from each other and as interlocking as starch molecules, flour, bread, and the flavorful memory of a superb morning croissant.

The aim of competitive & marketing intelligence is to turn data into something that can lead to competitive advantage in the same way that your morning croissant or loaf of bread depends on flour and water interacting to make something that is more than just a mixture of the raw ingredients.

 

Books - Co-opertition

Recommended Book

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Co-opetition : 1. a revolutionary mindset that redefines competition and cooperation; 2. the game theory strategy that's changing the game of business
Adam M Brandenburger & Barry J Nalebuff
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Read our review of this book

Michael Porter described this book as "the most important single contribution" in taking his original ideas on ways of achieving competitive advantage forward. The book is easy to read, inexpensive and contains numerous ideas to help reshape and challenge thought processes. The writers develop Porter's 5 forces model, and introduce a sixth force. They emphasise the strategic advantages of co-operation and look at game theory as a way of approaching business strategy.

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AWARE consultants are experts at discovering competitor information online and have developed a market-leading course on Finding Competitive Intelligence using Online Sources. This course has been given as an in-house course to numerous companies across industries (IT, publishing, telecoms, chemicals....) and countries, as well as publicly at SCIP annual and European conferences, the London International Online Information Conferences and other similar events.

The workshop has received high praise for its unique approach to finding competitive intelligence on the Internet. The workshop - available as a half-day summary, full day or 2-day in-depth training course with extensive practical online sessions - teaches attendees how to find actionable competitive intelligence rather than just present a list of sources that quickly date. Like all AWARE's in-house training, the course can be customised to focus on industry or competitive area.

For more information on this workshop and how it can help you become a more effective Internet researcher check out our Competitive Intelligence Training and ask us about our courses on finding CI information.

 

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